Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000222 0.000248 0.000276 0.000308 0.000344 0.000383 0.000428
2025-02-09 0.000186 0.000222 0.000263 0.000312 0.000371 0.000440 0.000524
2025-02-16 0.000160 0.000201 0.000251 0.000315 0.000396 0.000494 0.000623
2025-02-23 0.000138 0.000182 0.000238 0.000314 0.000414 0.000542 0.000718
2025-03-02 0.000119 0.000165 0.000224 0.000309 0.000425 0.000581 0.000804
2025-03-09 0.000105 0.000151 0.000214 0.000307 0.000440 0.000624 0.000900
2025-03-16 0.000095 0.000141 0.000207 0.000307 0.000456 0.000671 0.001004
2025-03-23 0.000086 0.000133 0.000201 0.000308 0.000474 0.000720 0.001116
2025-03-30 0.000078 0.000124 0.000193 0.000306 0.000486 0.000761 0.001218
2025-04-06 0.000072 0.000118 0.000189 0.000308 0.000504 0.000812 0.001339
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000112 0.000184 0.000309 0.000519 0.000860 0.001460
2025-04-20 0.000061 0.000105 0.000177 0.000305 0.000526 0.000895 0.001561
2025-04-27 0.000058 0.000103 0.000180 0.000318 0.000565 0.000987 0.001772
2025-05-04 0.000054 0.000099 0.000177 0.000323 0.000589 0.001057 0.001950
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000095 0.000175 0.000326 0.000611 0.001125 0.002133
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000091 0.000170 0.000325 0.000625 0.001180 0.002296
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000085 0.000163 0.000320 0.000629 0.001217 0.002429
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000081 0.000158 0.000318 0.000641 0.001268 0.002595
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000077 0.000155 0.000318 0.000656 0.001328 0.002783
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000074 0.000152 0.000319 0.000674 0.001394 0.002990
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000071 0.000148 0.000317 0.000684 0.001446 0.003171
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000068 0.000146 0.000319 0.000703 0.001518 0.003402
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000066 0.000143 0.000320 0.000719 0.001585 0.003628